Thumbnail Sketch of the GOP Field
by Timothy P. Buchanan
Not "rated" by the Author.
edited: Friday, January 11, 2008
Posted: Friday, January 11, 2008
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Who can win the GOP Presidential Nomination, who won't, and why?
With the benefit of the Iowa caucuses, several Republican debates, and now, the New Hampshire primary behind us, it is now clear who is, and is who not, a genuine conservative. Why is this important? Because Republicans always lose elections when they move to the left. Democrats will often pretend to be conservatives in order to get elected, then, after assuming office make a hard left turn. Amazingly, some Republicans have learned nothing from the 2006 Congressional election. No message could be clearer than the fact that when Republican candidates move left, which usually means compromising their principles, they lose elections. Nevertheless, some Republican candidates seem determined to lose again.
Former New York City mayor, Rudy Giuliani may have reduced crime in the Big Apple, but he also reduced any effort to locate or report illegal aliens living there. He has a record of being pro-abortion, and has made statements favorable to homosexuals who seek to re-define marriage. The former mayor was certainly a reassuring figure following the 9-11 terrorist attacks, and he has repudiated his former positions on the three issues, but his explanations of conversion are not very convincing. Rudy Giuliani will not win the GOP nomination.
Still in the race is Congressman Ron Paul. On most issues, such as smaller government, stopping illegal immigration, and ending the stranglehold that public schools have on our children’s education, Paul is fully conservative. The Congressman opposes the war in Iraq, and would bring our troops home if elected. He would likely gut the Patriot Act, which has helped law enforcement agencies find and track Islamic terrorists. But Paul’s main problem is that he cannot win the nomination. Too many Republicans are not ready to adopt an isolationist position when it comes to terrorism.
Former Massachusetts Governor, Mitt Romney has made a good showing in the campaign thus far. Critics point to his lax positions on social issues as reasons to reject him. As governor, Romney was pro-abortion and spoke out in favor of giving legal status to homosexual “domestic partnerships.” The fact that Romney is a Mormon--a religion that is far more moral than most Evangelical denominations, may lower his chances. Romney has since repented of his liberal Massachusetts views, and if the public believes that he would govern the nation as a conservative, he stands a good chance of winning the nomination.
Senator John McCain and former Arkansas Governor, Mike Huckabee are the liberals of the Republican field. Both have more similarities with Democrats than differences.
Even though we just learned that John McCain won the New Hampshire primary, his early lead will not be sustained once southern and Midwestern states weigh in. Conservatives have many reasons to reject McCain. First, there is the McCain-Feingold Campaign Finance Reform bill--a loathsome piece of legislative dreck that stripped many people of their First Amendment rights. With this dreadful bill, individuals and groups are prohibited from placing campaign ads with the media, but the leftist network media is permitted to exploit its biased impact with impunity.
Without question, McCain has been a supporter of President Bush in his execution of the war in Iraq, especially the surge. But he voted against the president’s tax cuts, and stubbornly holds onto this losing position. And who can forget the Kennedy-McCain Immigration reform bill, an act that would have allowed illegal aliens to become citizens for a small fee, and remain in the US once they obtain a Z-visa. This was an amnesty bill, pure and simple, and again, McCain stubbornly holds to the position that turning a blind eye to 6 to 12 million criminals is a good idea. He does this knowing that 80% of the American people oppose it. McCain is not pro-life, and his views on same-sex marriage are ambiguous at best. The Senator has also hopped aboard the global warming train--that hoax of left-wing politics that seeks to cripple the American economy for the sake of a farce. For these reasons and a few others, John McCain cannot and will not win the Republican nomination.
Former Arkansas Governor, Mike Huckabee, a former Baptist pastor, calls himself a conservative, but nothing could be further from the truth. To his credit, he is and has been firmly pro-life and he does support a Constitutional Amendment to preserve marriage, but that‘s where the similarity ends.
Huckabee has made a point of letting everyone know that he is a Christian. But what kind of Christian is a subject of debate. Huckabee raised taxes in Arkansas by $500 million for public education (gaining his the endorsement of the NEA), opposed school choice, sought to provide in-state tuition for illegal aliens, offered the Mexican Consulate a new home in the Razorback State for a lease deal of $1 per year, and pardoned 1000 convicted felons, some of which were serving time for murder.
No doubt Huckabee and some of his evangelical supporters justify these positions thinking that Jesus would do likewise. But I doubt that Jesus would prefer a public education system that prohibits God, indoctrinates students in humanism, and pushes sexual perversion, over home-schooling or a Christian education, especially when the latter does a superior job of educating children for half the cost. Also, it is not compassionate to give to one group, if you steal from another to do so. In America, we have a difficult enough time of dealing justice. Mercy and compassion should be left to the Church and the individual. It is manifestly true that governments make lousy charities, and terribly ineffective administrators of services.
On other issues, Governor Huckabee has criticized President Bush’s foreign policy calling it “arrogant” and “a bunker mentality.” His statements actually demonstrate Huckabee’s own arrogance, weighing in without having the facts. Finally, Huckabee joins McCain in supporting global treaties to reduce CO2. Global Warming is a hoax, and an informed Christian should know so. Man is not causing the earth to warm. It may be true that the average earth temperature rose one-half of one degree, but there is no objective evidence to show that the burning of fossil fuels is the cause.
Science is proven by evidence, not by “consensus.” The fact is that the earth has been much warmer in the past than it is today. Trees once grew in Greenland, and crops were once harvested in Northern Scotland, but do not grow there today. Huckabee even favors a national healthcare plan at a time when European countries are reporting that they theirs have been abject failures.
McCain and Huckabee are the darlings of the mainstream media--a situation that should concern every conservative. The networks promote them because if the Democrats lose and either McCain or Huckabee wins the general elections, liberals still get nearly everything they want.
During the campaign, many Republican candidates have invoked the name of Ronald Reagan. But the only candidate that comes close to Reagan in policy and talent, is Former Tennessee Senator, Fred Thompson. One reason that President Bush has had so much trouble getting legislation passed, is that he failed to effectively use the bully pulpit to go directly to the people for support. Thompson is uniquely qualified to make the case, as Reagan did, that conservative policies are far superior to liberal ones and to explain why. Senator Thompson is the only genuine conservative in the presidential race. He is not a recent convert to the pro-life ranks, and he did not have to modify his position on the protection of marriage. Unlike the other candidates, Fred Thompson has the ability to inspire the American people to seek excellence.
Thompson supports expanding the Bush tax cuts that have catapulted us out of the Clinton recession, securing the border and enforcing immigration law. The Senator will appoint justices to the Supreme Court who will interpret laws in accordance to the Constitution, instead of those who regard the Constitution as a “living, breathing document.” Fred Thompson also recognizes that in order to keep the economy growing, we need to expand our supplies of oil instead of allow ourselves to be held captive by the left-wing environmentalist kook-fringe. Most importantly, Fred Thompson can win the nomination. Most Republican voters are fed up with Republicans who act like Democrats. The 2006 election was not a Democrat win so much as it was a Republican loss. If Thompson was to lose the nomination to Mitt Romney, Republicans will still beat the Democrat candidate, but Fred Thompson IS the conservative choice.