The Barbault Scale
Don’t you just hate it when someone says ‘I told you so’ but to the many people out there who I did tell – almost six years ago – I am really sorry but I told you so. In many ways I wish I had been wrong when I said 2009 would be a pretty awful year. OK, so it is still only 2008 and there is every chance that the pear shaped global economy will bounce back without us, the little people, ever having noticed the pinch. Anyone who believes this, however, is probably a devout believer of the Easter Bunny and the alien abduction of Elvis Presley.
The credit crunch that started in 2008 (which at the time of writing this we are still in) is destined to get worse and will have a profound impact on the world for at least the next eight years. Oil prices rose stratospherically from $30 a barrel to $147 (today standing at just under $93). Don’t expect a quick resolution for this one either. The reason for my confidence in predicting this unsettling future is down to a French astrologer named Andre Barbault. There is little or no reference made to the ‘Barbault Scale’ as it was named to me, but Barbault was without doubt an active voice in the world of Mundane Astrology. In his own words he said:
The act of forecast is a creator act; this is a superior act in which, through the uniting of theory and practice as well as ideas and facts, mankind unites with the world. Long time before than others may sense it and when nothing may announce it from the other information sources, coming in fixing astraly the approximate term of an historical metamorphosis defined in its essential values, is an accomplishment of a real greatness : a top in human spirit acquisition is being reached.
From this lofty perspective I have to say that my reason for looking at this method was personal and financially motivated. So far it has helped me make some quite prudent financial decisions and I recommend the financially astute to view how the broad brush strokes that can be seen at a glance may help to shape future financial plans.
Andre Barbault is attributed on the internet as being the first astrologer to create computerised charts, way back in 1967. What seems to be hardly published at all, even on the World Wide Web, is his fascinating study of outer planetary cycles which is referred to as ‘the Barbault Scale’. Essentially it uses the outer planets of our solar system to portray a very broad brush stroke of strength and stability among the mass consciousness of the world. It was by following Barbault’s method that I discovered how badly, economically I surmised, 2009 was going to be on a global scale. I had no idea in what form this would take but when the credit crunch started to appear in early 2008 I realised that I might be seeing the first signs of what might transpire as a very significant sequence of events; and so it seems to be coming true today.
So why 2009 and not 2008? Well, the big guys may not like this but it seems that the impact on the world is not what is felt by big business or by governments. The Barbault Scale seems to register the zodiacs effect on the masses – the little people – and while the credit crunch has begun in 2008, we the little people will start paying the price nearer to 2009 and beyond.
Today is 16 September 2008. Yesterday the UK Daily Mail reported Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve as describing the current banking crisis as possibly the worst in a century – including the 1929 Wall Street Crash. His words, not mine. The following day, Lehman Brothers file for bankruptcy, adding itself to the list of casualties including UK’s Northern Rock, U.S. Bear Sterns and now Merill Lynch. Even the American insurer AIG is understood to be in deep trouble. HBOS (Halifax Bank Of Scotland) is still in business but feeling a little wobbly. The financial world has a toxic virus that will take more than a year to expel.
Why is all this happening? Not that anyone doesn’t already know but it should be made abundantly clear. It is simply that the banking sector got greedy and took too many risks with other people’s money. We, the little guy, trusting our long term future to the prudence and responsibility of large corporate companies, will be the ones paying the price. The papers were full of shocked finance workers finding all their investments in Lehman had disappeared. We did not feel happy for them when they engineered obscene bonuses for themselves by taking huge and imprudent risks. We did not enjoy the way that the private sector bullied staff into foisting immorally, loans and pointless insurance onto hapless individuals. It is unlikely that we will feel sorry for them now that the inevitable consequence of reckless behaviour manifests in the disappearance of their jobs. I have no doubt that they will be reeling all the way back to their million pound homes in their flashy cars and expensive lifestyles to ponder on how long they can survive on the bulging bank accounts accumulated from years of despicable economic perfidy. One can only hope that those financial institutions who survive will learn lessons enough to ensure that we who must survive in the aftermath of their reckless pursuit of more and more profit are due much more consideration than the share holders who demand ever increasing returns without due consideration to the consequences. Please note that Lehman encouraged their staff to become share holders. In the light of all these dreadful practices should that even be allowed?
The question I would like to know is how much of the situation was inevitable. Could this scene of economic chaos have been avoided? According to Barbault we were in for a global downturn one way or another. The question he would have asked would probably have been how much of it could have been avoided if financial institutions believed that such a downturn was predictable. Certainly Barbault’s method is difficult to argue against as it is entirely a mathematical procedure. This is briefly how it works:
The outer planets of our solar system from Jupiter to Pluto are included in the calculation. Each planet moves at different speeds; for example, Jupiter takes 12 years to go around the Sun and Saturn takes around 29 years but Barbault’s method concerns the 20 years it takes between Jupiter and Saturn meeting to the point where they meet again. When two planets are in conjunction – the exact same degree in the zodiac – they are at zero degrees to each other. As the faster planet moves away from the other planet the degree of separation is counted as a plus number right up until the two planets are exactly opposite each other, which is +180. Just one degree later will see the faster planet returning to the slower one, and that turns the +180 into a minus figure, -179. This number reduces as the angle reduces until the two planets conjunct, thereby starting the cycle all over again. Barbault’s calculations look at the degrees of separation, away from or towards each planet in turn with all the others. That is to say the calculation is performed for a single point in time between the distances of Jupiter to Saturn, Jupiter to Uranus, Jupiter to Neptune, Jupiter to Pluto, Saturn to Uranus, Saturn to Neptune, Saturn to Pluto, Uranus to Neptune, Uranus to Pluto and finally Neptune to Pluto. My calculations were performed on New Years Day for each year from 1910 to 2030 (That can take a while). Once all the calculations have been made for any one point in time, the totals of plus and minus figures are added together.
Let’s look at some of the highlights.
From 1910 – 1919 the Barbault Scale showed deep minus figures. The lowest and most consistent of those minus figures were from 1913 to 1916 and didn’t really rise into plus figures until 1924. World War 1 is the obvious historical event from 1914 – 1917. The significance of what was then dubbed ‘The Great War’ was its global proportions. No war of this size had ever existed and someone said it was ‘the war to end all wars’. We know different of course. It is curious to note, however, that advances in technology, avionics, engineering and more seemed to evolve rapidly, as it did again in World War 2.
While most places, in the Western world at least, seemed to have quite a prosperous time in the ‘roaring’ 1920s (The Barbault Scale hovered between small minuses and small pluses) Germany was in hardship and it was this experience that allowed the rise of the Nazi Party that would ultimately lead the world into another war. In the 1920s, however, there was no global concern so everyone simply allowed fate to take its course; it was somebody else’s problem.
A sudden dip in 1928 heralded the American economy straining against excess and unrestrained finances, which resulted in the Wall Street Crash of 1929. The World economy now experienced a little of Germany’s fate. It was no longer somebody else’s problem. In fact the 1930s depression is demonstrated in the Barbault Scale by a string of continuous minus totals that seriously dips to -692 in 1938 and doesn’t recover until 1945. According to the Barbault Scale, World War 2 could be argued as being the most significant event in the history of the 20th Century.
The eventual return to plus figures saw a slow recovery from 1946 right the way through to 1967. Technological advances of World War II resulted in the invention of the rocket and jet propulsion. Commercial aviation was born and space flight imagined. There were, of course many other battles and conflicts occurring, including the Vietnam conflict and the black rights movement. As important as they were it seems that The Barbault Scale doesn’t register them with the same significance; nothing personal – just simple mathematics.
The 1970s was all minus figures, 1977 to 1981 being quite significant. Globally, oil was under crisis, war flared up in the Middle East, feeding the flames of discontent between Moslem and Christian and the emergence of AIDS. The minus figures ended in 1982 with the Falklands War.
Plus figures dominated the 1980s from 1984 to 1990, despite there being a recession in 1987. Soviet Communism collapsed and the Berlin Wall fell. The Western economy was on the up and up. Prosperity reigned and we saw the rise of computers, mobile phones, credit cards and telephone banking. This was the beginning of the ‘me first’ culture. Greed would soon have to answer to the inevitable pay-back. In the meantime the Barbault Scale seems to ignore the Africa starvation of 1984 and the housing crash in the UK on the last knockings of 1989.
While the Barbault Scale ignores the UK property crash, it signifies 1991 – 1993 as being a not too brilliant time. The first gulf war occurred, the Russian economy was in turmoil and the first significant signs of terrorism appeared with the first attempted bombing of the World Trade Centre. Then the Barbault Scale shows a tremendous run of plus figures from the end of apartheid in 1994 right the way through to 2003. Here it should be noted that the economy was positively booming when terrorists succeeded in bringing down the Twin Towers in 2001.
The Barbault Scale indicates modest pluses and minuses for 2003 to 2008. In 2009 the scale dips to a level not seen since 1992. Its comparative dive from the previous year signifies a downturn. But how significant is it likely to be?
The plus figure of 52 in 2008 seems to ignore the events that unfold today, just as the year 1929 was only a modest -84. What is significant to both, however, are the years that follow. The 1930s we have already looked at, so let us consider the years to come after today.
The Barbault Scale for 2009 is -194 followed by -14 in 2010. This is a similar pattern to the Wall Street Crash. Unlike the 1930s, however, there are three plus years: +64 in 2011, +208 in 2012 (Olympics in the UK) and only +8 in 2013. The high figure in 2012 suggests at the very least, the world is not going to come to an end when the Mayan Calendar completes its 5,126 year cycle (December 2012)
2014 to 2021 has some worrying totals for us to concern ourselves with. They go as follows:
2014 = -183
2015 = -43
2016 = -260 (last comparative figure 1976 = -246)
2017 = -496 (last comparative figure 1979 = -478)
2018 = -388 (last comparative figure 1980 = -332) ( and 1953 = -398)
2019 = -282
2020 = -176
2021 = -64
The worrying trend for me is that the Barbault Scale has only demonstrated significant minus figures in three periods over the last 100 years; they are 1910 – 1922, 1931 – 1944 and 1971 – 1981. Furthermore, if the Barbault Scale only indicates events of global effect, in what manner will this unhappy sequence of events manifest? Is there a way to mitigate the negative impact? I feel sure that we all enjoy the technological advances that war instigated but can’t we have the technology breakthroughs without the killing?
In prosperous times it has been possible to indulge in the expenses of war against those who would commit crimes of terror (The Barbault scale appears not to register terrorism as a significant world-changing event). With the onset of a significant economic ‘correction’ the world will no doubt have to share the pain of prudence, which will be something of a shock to the ‘must-have-the-latest-clothes-designer trainers-computer game-mobile phone’ generation. Paying for economic mismanagement will be expensive. Paying for war may become a luxury we simply can’t afford to indulge in any longer. This gives serious rise to how we may end satisfactorily the conflicts in both Iraq and Afghanistan; and end it we must because we can no longer afford the expense of either.
We can expect almost a decade of shortage. Old regimes and traditions are likely to change rapidly. Television, for example, is undergoing a massive transformation; and I don’t mean switching from analogue to digital. More and more people are finding entertainment in computer based sites and products and consul games. You can even watch some TV on computer nowadays.
This decade, where money is hard earned, there will be a big shift to making the best of what you have. That means the possibility of satellite and cable channels losing out to the internet. Digital books, being cheaper and never likely to go out of print, will experience a surge in popularity. Technology, I am sure, will help this along by producing a simple hand held device that is inexpensive and within reach of the prudent pocket. Video stores will struggle to survive. The mobile phone is already evolving into a hand-held computer. Sentient robots perhaps? In short I believe we should get ready for a technological revolution; perhaps the only positive thing that appears to come out of Barbault’s minus periods.
Other revolutions in this decade may well include welfare systems, big institutions and old age pensions. Food is in short supply globally. All will come under severe pressure, with a need to reconsider seriously how any of the above systems have to evolve in order to survive. The world’s brightest people may have to bend their minds to developing new economic models. Poverty has not been eradicated under the current capitalist system because the current capitalist system does not reward fixed or low incomes; particularly if those incomes are hostages to the fortunes of the stock markets.
In this decade I believe that there is evidence inferring a change to the UK Monarchy. Queen Elizabeth II is in good health and I believe we would all like to see her beat Queen Victoria’s reign of 64 years. She must therefore reign until 2017, when she will reach the impressive age of 91. One hopes that Her Majesty will enjoy the longevity of the Queen Mother who died aged 101. The Barbault Scale is certainly not specific, even if history implies it has some broad use, so I hope with all sincerity that Her Majesty continues to reign into the 2020s.
Please note that the Barbault Scale doesn’t really have any reference to global warming. I do not believe that this is in any way indicative of evidence for or against its existence. I merely point it out as being something of global concern that appears unrepresented. Global warming may or may not be an important global issue but for the Barbault Scale there is only evidence of incontrovertible event trends – and those event trends appear to be amid societal and economic fortunes. I can only presume that it would take a super-volcano to encompass the Earth in ash and blocking out the Sun to make the Barbault Scale record the impact; and if it is any consolation – it doesn’t look like happening between now and 2030.
Events of the next ten years or so may provide more evidence that there is some real value to the astrologically devised method that Barbault devised. If it does, I hope others will study it in the hope of warding off some of the consequences of our more unpleasant human characteristics. We can improve technology without having to kill for it. Today we have the opportunity to reflect meaningfully on the folly of greed. The have-it-now-on-credit time is over and we have no choice but to reap the benefits of our past actions; not just personally but as nations. There has never been a better time to build bridges instead of burning them.
Now, you may decide to keep an open mind about the Barbault Scale or you may choose to dismiss it. That is your prerogative to do so. But if I am right in what I am seeing then those who ignore the inevitable global ‘correction’ will undoubtedly pay the price for their folly. All I can do it raise a warning flag. …and if it all comes to pass, remember – I told you so.