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Blogs by Walker Joe Jackson
Pfizer's Warning Signs 2/5/2008 3:59:47 PM Read Walker Jackson's "Rx Conspiracy Files." The life you save may be your own. It's a thriller. It's entertaining. It's mostly exciting fiction except for some medical facts about the questionable practices between, Pharma, MDs and FDA. It's knowledge that'll help you make smart choices about Rx. Below is one of many frightening occurrences in the world of Rx.
Pharmaceuticals
Pfizer's Warning Signs
Matthew Herper and Robert Langreth 12.08.06, 6:00 AM ET
Even before Pfizer started large-scale trials of its failed heart drug, some scientists thought it might do more harm than good. That could have big implications for other drug firms.At an all-day meeting at a Times Square hotel last Saturday, Pfizer (nyse: PFE - news - people ) gathered 100 top cardiologists and showed them data for the company's panoply of heart drugs. The star: torcetrapib, Pfizer's experimental pill to raise good cholesterol, touted as one of the most important medicines in a generation. The doctors were enthralled.
But at 6:30 p.m., during a cocktail reception, Pfizer Chief Medical Officer Joe Feczko silenced the crowd with the announcement that the company was immediately canceling all trials of the drug because it had sharply boosted the death rate of patients in a 15,000 patient trial. "It went from this positive sense of the future into a wake in a second," says Allen Taylor, chief cardiologist at Walter Reed Army Medical Center.
Top cardiologists across the country were shocked by the news. It turned out that 82 patients on the drug had died, versus only 51 deaths among those on standard treatment, with higher rates of other heart problems including heart attacks and surgeries. On Monday, Pfizer chief executive Jeffrey Kindler went on CNBC and called the deaths "very unexpected and surprising." Pfizer has lost $20 billion in market cap since then.
But some researchers had always doubted torcetrapib, some savagely. Even doctors who tested the drug said it was a big gamble. Years before Pfizer's drug went into large-scale trials, some research suggested that drugs like it might actually do more harm than good. In particular, at least three published studies of people with gene mutations that the drug mimicked found unexpectedly higher rates of heart disease.
By casting doubt on how much scientists really understand about heart problems, Pfizer's catastrophic failure is certain to delay heart drugs at other companies as the Food and Drug Administration demands more testing.
Pfizer says it developed torcetrapib in a stepwise and orderly manner. It is still unclear why the drug, which also had the side effect of raising blood pressure, caused so much harm. Pfizer also says torcetrapib's problems were discovered in a timely manner without exposing undue numbers of patients.
Pfizer also says it proceeded with its research with "the support of some of the most respected cardiovascular experts who believed that the HDL hypothesis had great hope," the company said in a statement. "No one can predict the ultimate outcome of clinical research until all the appropriate trials have been completed, and the results from [the torcetrapib study] were deeply disappointing to us and cardiovascular experts around the world." But a few scientists saw disaster coming.
"I kept saying at meetings that this is going to have the opposite effect as intended and ten years from now people would die from it," says Anne Tybjaerg-Hansen of the University of Copenhagen, a heart geneticist who published one of the studies in 2000. "But nobody believed me."
Cholesterol, the fat that makes up the outer coatings of cells but also lines our arteries and causes heart attacks, is ferried about the body by two different molecules. Bad cholesterol, or LDL (low-density lipoprotein), brings the fat to the arteries. HDL (high-density lipoprotein), or good cholesterol, acts as a molecular dump truck that carries cholesterol away from the arteries, preventing buildup of plaque. Big epidemiology studies indicate that patients with low levels of HDL are more likely to die from heart attacks than patients with high levels of HDL, even if their bad cholesterol is not elevated.
Current cholesterol drugs work by cutting LDL. For years, drugs companies have been interested in developing drugs that might further reduce the heart attack rate by boosting good cholesterol. But there have been few clues about how to do so.
One of the first hints came in 1989 when researchers at Columbia University and elsewhere found a group of Japanese patients with extremely high levels of HDL because of rare mutations in a gene called CETP, effectively lowering levels of this essential protein--cholesterol ester transfer protein, an obscure biochemical that plays a vital role in the body's cholesterol transport scheme. The first study suggested that these patients might be exceptionally long-lived.
So Pfizer scientists began a search for a drug to lower CETP levels--research that led to torcetrapib. But as they were working, doubts were already emerging that blocking CETP would help patients. In 1996, a big study of Japanese-American men in Honolulu found that those with mutations that reduced CETP levels had 50% higher risk of heart attacks even though their HDL (good cholesterol) was elevated. Then in 2000, Tybjaerg-Hansen and her colleagues in Copenhagen published their own studies showing that women, but not men, with lower CETP levels had more heart disease, again, despite elevated HDL levels.
Researcher Yuji Matsuzawa of the Osaka University had also studied patients with defective CETP genes (hence lower levels) in the 1990s and found that these individuals appeared to have more clogged arteries. He came up with a theory to explain the counterintuitive results: blocking CETP produced defective HDL, he argued, so that even though HDL levels were sky-high, this did no good. "CETP inhibitors may not be a good tool for the purpose of atherosclerosis," he and his colleagues wrote in a 2000 paper; such drugs might produce "dysfunctional HDL particles" that would promote clogged arteries. Matsuzawa did not return requests for comment.
Measuring HDL and expecting to prevent heart attacks may be like estimating the efficiency of trash removal by counting garbage trucks; the trucks could be empty.
But other genetic work contradicted these negative results. In particular, a 13,700 patient Dutch study in 2004 that found that low CETP levels were beneficial, suggesting torcetrapib would work. Also, an attempt to repeat the Honolulu study showed neutral to positive effects from low CETP levels.
Cardiologists were also encouraged when Pfizer researchers showed that rabbits treated with CETP-blocking drugs had vastly lower levels of artery plaque. Daniel Rader, a University of Pennsylvania cardiologist who helped study the drug, thought that the evidence that torcetrapib would work was mixed, but felt greatly reassured by the positive rabbit studies. "The rabbit studies were the tiebreaker," he says. Alan Tall, the Columbia University researcher who co-discovered CETP, says genetic studies were “murky” and Pfizer was “thoroughly justified” in going forward with human tests.
By 2003, Pfizer's clinical trials in hundreds of patients quickly showed that the Pfizer drug vastly boosted HDL levels by 60% or more. Pfizer's studies indicated that the HDL the drug produced was indeed functional. But the only way to prove whether the drug prevented heart attacks or caused them was to test it in thousands of people for years. With few other good promising compounds in the pipeline, cardiologists eagerly signed on for the big trial.
Several top American cardiologists were aware all along of the concerns that the Pfizer drug might produce dysfunctional HDL. But they figured that the worst-case scenario was that the drug wouldn't work--not that it actually might hurt people. Says Steven Nissen, chairman of cardiology at the Cleveland Clinic and leader of a torcetrapib study: "I certainly didn't think it would be harmful."
Prediman K. Shah, chief of cardiology at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, says "it is not a total surprise" that torcetrapib didn't work or that it harmed people. The early genetic studies suggested that it could conceivably harm people, though early studies of the drug, including the rabbit studies, suggested just the opposite.
Shah was already worried that there was no data on whether the drug reduced artery inflammation, another risk factor for the heart, and that the drug boosted blood pressure a little bit.
Roger Illingworth, a professor emeritus at Oregon Health & Science University who helped write the national guidelines for cholesterol-lowering drugs, says the fact that patients in Japan with CETP-lowering mutations still had clogged arteries suggested the drug would not work. He would not have given it to his own patients.
Exactly why the Pfizer drug apparently killed people won't be known for some time, if ever. A big hint might come from a large study run by the Cleveland Clinic's Nissen that is using imaging techniques to measure the plaque content of the arteries of patients who took torcetrapib versus those on standard treatment. The results are being analyzed now and are scheduled to be unveiled next March. Nissen says he fears that worries about torcetrapib could make it difficult to find patients willing to take part in clinical trials for CETP-lowering entrants from Roche or Merck (nyse: MRK - news - people ).
But the impact of the torcetrapib disaster could go far beyond lookalike pills. For Allen Taylor, the Army doctor who saw the mood sink at the Pfizer-sponsored cocktail party, torcetrapib's failure has "huge implications." For other heart drugs that work in new ways, he says, it is impossible to know if they are safe and effective without doing a big trial to judge whether or not it saves lives.
Merck, Taylor notes, is doing a giant trial of a new drug to be given with niacin, an approved HDL raiser. There is even reason to doubt another FDA approved and widely-prescribed drug, ezetimibe--the chemical in the blockbusters Vytorin and Zetia, sold by Merck and Schering-Plough (nyse: SGP - news - people ). These drugs cut LDL in a completely new way, but do not raise HDL substantially and have not been proven over the long term to save lives. Merck and Schering are funding a giant trial to measure the pills' benefits and risks. Says Taylor: "We're not as smart as we think we are."
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