Who is RFK, Jr. Most Likely to Help in
November, Biden or Trump?

At this early stage of the 2024 elections, there is no definitive answer to the title question. But by using a comprehensive Artificial Intelligence (AI) search engine, a surprising picture is beginning to emerge across a large number of polls, although still vague and subject to many changes at this early date. According to one poll, RFK is pulling a huge 22 percent of the total vote. That is way short of his winning the presidency, but it is substantial, and it favors Pres. Biden by just about enough to close the gap between Biden and Trump. The composite view is “too close to call.”

Trump has a 3.0% lead based in 90 polls:

◦ Trump: 41.6%
◦ Biden: 38.6%
◦ Kennedy: 11.3% [1]

RFK Jr.'s poll numbers remain high, and he has garnered significant support:

• In some swing states, he received up to a quarter of the a quarter of the potential vote, pulling slightly more from Donald Trump than President Biden [2,3].
• A Quinnipiac poll had him at an impressive 22% when matched up with Biden and Trump [4,5] .
While RFK Jr.'s candidacy adds an interesting dynamic to the race, it remains to be seen how his popularity will impact the final outcome. Voters are considering a broader spectrum of options, reminiscent of the 2016 election. As the campaign unfolds, we’ll closely watch how these three candidates fare in the polls leading up to the election [1].

[1] elections 2024, thehill.com [2] kalw.org [3] ijpr.org [4] 270towin.com [5] politico.com