I would not like to give a false analysis to my Jewish Israeli friends and others, but although I do not agree with the Obama administration because of their way of presenting things that does not seem true , in the case of Iran, I think we should however give a chance to the president and to Iran, because we must not reject an opportunity that is open at the moment. In a few months we'll see. So it would be wise on the part of Israelis to refrain from any premature action, since the contract according to the Iranians is not consistent with the explanation of the Americans.
Since Obama came to power, there were changes in the American thought. Now the U.S. administration will do everything to calm the Israelis and try to convince them that it is in their best interest not to react. Then it will try to convince the Saudis, because they also represent certain interests; they are not happy with the treaty and they also have a significant impact on several countries.
Saudi Arabia currently represents a temporary interest that should not be overlooked, aside from its oil; its influence on the Sunni Arab countries like Egypt that need help to move forward in several areas without touching their religion or their way of life, which must be respected. Finally, American Jews represent a certain influence in the Democratic Party in the Senate, but also in Congress.
Iranians say other things about this agreement and do not seem to agree with the words of President Obama. This is also perhaps a tactic to calm the minds of those who oppose Obama and his agreement with Iran. I prefer to wait before taking a position, as with the Iranians I know a bit about them. They are very clever and very cunning. In the White House, Obama has an Iranian American who is Senior Advisor to the President, so she knows a few things too.
In principle, U.S. agreements are complicated enough to well understand them. I guess the lawyers who drafted the agreement expected that it would not be final and that there would be changes gradually in the months ahead and see if the Iranians are serious and respect the agreements.
I believe that the Israelis and the Saudis do not need our advice and when the time is right they will know what to do.
Copyright 2013 Emile Tubiana
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Jane
Ron