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Zahala San Simone

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Thought I’d reprint these articles from CNN Wire today.

I've been writing about the perils of the GOP strategy, in assuming that the American people will forget about what they've done for the past few years, for awhile now (see my articles "Uh Oh...More Trouble", "Ok...Not Again" and "Majority-ism"). In light of that, I think these articles speak for themselves...



WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The percentage of likely voters who plan to vote for Democrats in Tuesday's congressional elections increased in the past week, and those voters supporting Democrats also seem less likely to change their minds before casting ballots, according to a CNN poll conducted over the weekend.
Democrats hold a 58 percent to 38 percent advantage over Republicans among likely voters in the survey released Monday morning, compared to the 53 percent to 42 percent advantage reflected in the poll a week ago. Pollsters asked people who identified themselves as being likely to vote which party's candidate they would you vote for in their congressional district if the election were being held today.

On this question, the poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

In the so-called "poll of polls," which averages the results of five national surveys, the Democrats have a 53 percent to 41 percent margin over the Republicans.

When asked if it is possible they could change their mind before election day, 17 percent of those likely voters who supported Republican congressional candidates said they might instead chose the Democrat, while just 10 percent of those supporting Democrats said a switch was possible.

The poll's sampling error on this question was plus or minus 6 percentage points.

The CNN poll, conducted by telephone on November 3-5 by Opinion Research Corporation, interviewed 1,008 adult Americans, including 636 likely voters. (Posted 6:29 a.m.)




WASHINGTON (CNN) -- President Bush's popularity took another dip over the past week, and four out of 10 likely voters said their disapproval of the job he is doing will impact how they cast their congressional ballots on Tuesday, according to a new CNN poll.

Bush's approval rating fell to 35 percent, with 61 percent of those polled saying they disapproved of the way he is handling his job as president, in the survey conducted on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. This represents a two point decline in Bush's approval rating compared to the CNN poll conducted a week earlier and it is four points lower than the survey taken two weeks ago.

The poll's sampling error on the approval rating question is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
In the same poll, 41 percent of likely voters said they would be sending a message about their disapproval of Bush when they vote Tuesday. Another 42 percent said their opinion of Bush is not a factor in their congressional voting, while 16 percent said they would be sending a vote of support for Bush when they cast ballots Tuesday.

On this question, the poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

The CNN poll, conducted by telephone on November 3-5 by Opinion Research Corporation, interviewed 1,008 adult Americans, including 636 likely voters. (Posted 6:28 a.m.)



My comment: The polls consist of a small sample size, but they're likely a highly representative test group.

We’ll all know by tomorrow night, won’t we?

See you at the top!
Wendi
   


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