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Peter Paton

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Study: Massive Southern California Earthquake Could Come Any Moment
by Peter Paton   
Rated "PG" by the Author.
Last edited: Saturday, June 24, 2006
Posted: Saturday, June 24, 2006

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Study: Massive Southern California Earthquake Could Come Any Moment

Study: Massive Southern California Earthquake Could Come Any Moment

Wednesday, June 21, 2006

LOS ANGELES  — New earthquake research confirms the southern end of the San Andreas fault near Los Angeles is overdue for a Big One.

The lower section of the fault has not produced a major earthquake in more than three centuries. The new study, which analyzed 20 years of data and is considered one of the most detailed analyses yet, found that stress has been building up since then, and that the fault could rupture at any moment.

"The southern section of the fault is fully loaded for the next big event," said geophysicist Yuri Fialko of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla.

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Predicting exactly when that might happen, however, is beyond scientists' ability.

The analysis was published in Thursday's issue of the journal Nature .

Experts have estimated that a quake on the southern San Andreas of magnitude-7.6 or greater could kill thousands of people in the densely populated greater Los Angeles area and cause tens of billions of dollars in damage.

(Story continues below)


It was the 800-mile San Andreas fault, which runs down California like a scar, that caused the 1906 San Francisco earthquake that led to about 3,000 deaths.

But scientists know very little about the 100-mile dormant southern segment, which slices through Southern California from San Bernardino, east of Los Angeles, to near the Mexican border.

The section last popped in 1690, producing an estimated 7.7-magnitude quake, but caused little injury or damage because hardly anyone lived there at the time.

Using satellite radar and global positioning data, Fialko measured the movement of the southern San Andreas between 1985 and 2005. Small movements along a fault can relieve strain. Calculating those subtle motions allows scientists to figure out how much strain is building up.

Fialko found that the southern end of the fault has shown little movement and that significant strain is building up. The fault's slip rate, or average annual movement, was measured to be about an inch a year — similar to previous estimates.

Surprisingly, Fialko found the two sides of the southern San Andreas behaved differently, with one side showing more flexibility than the other. This could help scientists understand potential earthquake risks, he said.

Ken Hudnut, a U.S. Geological Survey geophysicist in Pasadena, who had no role in the study, said the latest research reaffirms the need to study the mysterious southern San Andreas more closely.

In the fall, Hudnut will head a $240,000 project that would conduct tests on the southern segment to get a better idea of the threat it poses

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Reviewed by Crystal Silver Angel (Reader)
(((((( Peter ))))))))

thank you deeply Peter for your voice for healing and social cause. I lived in southern California a great many years right out side Long Beach and Santa Monica ~ Venice Beach. The quakes would come so powerful and everyone would jump with panic attacks. I worked at a hotel in Marina Del Rey and the place would rock sending us all into panic attacks…I suppose the ones who have lived there all their lives have been used to all the shaking…Los Angeles has a major fault line…That area has been told by geologist that the big one will come. We must speak prophetically for safety and the plates to remain stable.. San Francisco had a huge one. I was in Santa Monica then..I can remember my professor in college telling us when it hit. My friend was trapped in an elevator for hours and hours and hours.. I can just imagine what was going through her mind… I mean bridges crumbled in half. Hard for us to totally image that. I was not in the powerful North Ridge but my sister was and she said it knocked her from the bed and the cats when ballistic.. I have interceded for the plates to stay balanced, even, calm, calm, calm.. Thanks Peter for this informative issue that I hope will send the prayer warriors on their toes..

Peace & Love, Dove
Reviewed by - - - - - TRASK
Earthquakes Don't Bother Me Been In Them California So Many Times,i.e. I Am Concerend For Little Children Families Already Sleeping Starving in Our Streets Los Angelese Sleazy...

Great Write On Peter...

Reviewed by Jerry Bolton (Reader)
Where's FEMA?
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