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Blogs by Kathryn Seifert
From my presentation on Forensic mental Health on Tuesday 5/23/2010 9:04:33 AM
I am working on a power point for a presentation on Tuesday. The important points are:
It is not sufficient to measure risk, you must also manage it and reduce future risk.
Those at highest risk have the most severe problems and need to most intensive work.
Correct classification rate of risk of violence, recidivism and behavior problems by the most popular tools (measured by ROC or correct classification rate)
CARE2 - 88-95% (Strong to Very Strong)
SAVRY - 75% (Moderate)
YLS-CMI - 61-73% (Weak to Moderate)
PCL-YV - 63-73% for boys (Weak to Moderate); 50% or Chance levels for Girls (should not be used)
MCASP/WSJCA/PACT -64% (Weak)
Unaided Clinical Judgement - 50% (Chance Levels; should not be used)
